Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0

Editors: Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon

Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0 is the largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.

Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method’s evolution.

The CD-ROM contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages.
Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.

Table of Contents

ISBN: 978-0-9818941-1-9
Price: $49.50 US dollars plus shipping

The series begins with an introductory chapter to futures research and concludes with a synthesis of methods and speculation about the future of futures research methods. The other 37 chapters cover one specific method (e.g. Futures Wheel, Scenarios) or category of methods (e.g. Systems Perspectives, Normative Forecasting).

Each of the 37 chapters contains:

  • an executive overview of each method's history,
  • description of the method
  • primary and alternative usages,
  • strengths and weaknesses,
  • uses in combination with other methods, and
  • speculation about future evolution of the method.
  • Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.

Version 3.0 has not only added new chapters, it has also updated and improved the editing of the previous chapters making this version a significant improvement on the previous one.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction to Futures Research
Jerome C. Glenn

2. Environmental Scanning
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn

3. Text Mining for Technology Foresight
Alan L. Porter

4. Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon

5. Real-Time Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon

6. The Futures Wheel
Jerome C. Glenn

7. The Futures Polygon
Antonio Pacinelli

8. Trend Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon

9. Cross-Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon

10. Wild Cards
John Petersen and Karlheintz Steinmueller

11. Structural Analysis
Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat

12. The Systems Perspectives
Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer

13. Decision Modeling
The Futures Group International

14. Substitution Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon

15. Statistical Modeling
Antonio Pacinelli

16. Technology Sequence Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon

17. Morphological Analysis
Tom Ritchey

18. Relevance Trees
The Futures Group International and Theodore J. Gordon

19. Scenarios
Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International

20. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning
Michel Godet

21. Interactive Scenarios
Theodore J. Gordon

22. Robust Decisionmaking
Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steve Bankes (RAND Corporation)

23. Participatory Methods
Jerome C. Glenn

24. Simulation and Games
Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro

25. Genius Forecasting, Intuition, and Vision
Jerome C. Glenn

26. Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers and Justin Zitzewitz

27. Using Vision in Futures
Clem Bezold

28. Normative Forecasting
Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn

29. S&T Road Mapping
Theodore J. Gordon

30. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)
Geoffrey R. Coyle

31. Agent Modeling (demo software)
Theodore J. Gordon

32. Chaos and Non-Linear Dynamics
Theodore Gordon

33. Multiple Perspective Concept
Harold Linstone

34. Heuristics Modeling
Sam Cole

35. Causal Layered Analysis
Sohail Inayatullah

36. Personal Futures
Verne Wheelwright

37.State of the Future Index
Theodore J. Gordon

38. SOFI Software System
Peter Yim

39. Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn


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